Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.447923 0.490910 0.536926 0.589967 0.649566 0.714634 0.791273
2026-02-01 0.370184 0.428503 0.495272 0.577866 0.677968 0.796223 0.947773
2026-02-08 0.330640 0.397098 0.476754 0.580259 0.712656 0.878336 1.104543
2026-02-15 0.299141 0.369670 0.457285 0.575664 0.733825 0.941336 1.240125
2026-02-22 0.277261 0.351083 0.445653 0.577849 0.761392 1.012653 1.392442
2026-03-01 0.255879 0.330703 0.429077 0.570642 0.773836 1.062546 1.518242
2026-03-08 0.237055 0.311897 0.412562 0.561201 0.780999 1.104023 1.634612
2026-03-15 0.218189 0.291468 0.391965 0.543684 0.773922 1.122479 1.715701
2026-03-22 0.210511 0.285923 0.391580 0.555055 0.810424 1.210220 1.918904
2026-03-29 0.202936 0.279871 0.389808 0.563833 0.843177 1.294660 2.126943
2026-04-05 0.194784 0.272358 0.385207 0.567614 0.867850 1.367728 2.323987
2026-04-12 0.186894 0.264678 0.379726 0.569352 0.888937 1.436284 2.521395
2026-04-19 0.180141 0.258434 0.376207 0.574251 0.916279 1.519603 2.761696
2026-04-26 0.170049 0.246529 0.363166 0.562542 0.913888 1.549067 2.899032
2026-05-03 0.163924 0.240392 0.358784 0.564858 0.936246 1.626433 3.147294
2026-05-10 0.156867 0.232376 0.350851 0.560411 0.945736 1.679859 3.351808
2026-05-17 0.151685 0.227045 0.346921 0.562526 0.967361 1.759143 3.627002
2026-05-24 0.145120 0.219134 0.338248 0.555552 0.970983 1.802130 3.824203
2026-05-31 0.138617 0.211005 0.328757 0.546415 0.969534 1.834225 4.000086
2026-06-07 0.131141 0.200938 0.315468 0.529459 0.951212 1.828401 4.079744
2026-06-14 0.129029 0.199695 0.317215 0.540467 0.989963 1.950924 4.514106
2026-06-21 0.126593 0.197773 0.317646 0.548963 1.024243 2.067491 4.956299
2026-06-28 0.123505 0.194584 0.315653 0.552622 1.048615 2.164091 5.362580